Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.002088 0.002194 0.002306 0.002433 0.002574 0.002726 0.002905
2025-05-18 0.001939 0.002088 0.002253 0.002451 0.002685 0.002956 0.003301
2025-05-25 0.001812 0.001986 0.002184 0.002432 0.002739 0.003117 0.003633
2025-06-01 0.001705 0.001892 0.002111 0.002393 0.002757 0.003226 0.003908
2025-06-08 0.001659 0.001863 0.002110 0.002438 0.002878 0.003478 0.004418
2025-06-15 0.001611 0.001828 0.002096 0.002461 0.002970 0.003697 0.004926
2025-06-22 0.001548 0.001770 0.002046 0.002432 0.002983 0.003801 0.005269
2025-06-29 0.001488 0.001711 0.001992 0.002390 0.002972 0.003864 0.005552
2025-07-06 0.001443 0.001668 0.001955 0.002368 0.002987 0.003968 0.005936
2025-07-13 0.001371 0.001588 0.001865 0.002267 0.002872 0.003843 0.005831
2025-07-20 0.001338 0.001557 0.001840 0.002256 0.002894 0.003951 0.006245
2025-07-27 0.001320 0.001544 0.001839 0.002278 0.002970 0.004162 0.006964
2025-08-03 0.001291 0.001517 0.001817 0.002270 0.003001 0.004303 0.007596
2025-08-10 0.001277 0.001510 0.001823 0.002305 0.003104 0.004602 0.008839
2025-08-17 0.001250 0.001484 0.001801 0.002295 0.003130 0.004750 0.009740
2025-08-24 0.001219 0.001450 0.001766 0.002262 0.003113 0.004806 0.010369
2025-08-31 0.001211 0.001449 0.001777 0.002303 0.003232 0.005185 0.012715
2025-09-07 0.001197 0.001439 0.001776 0.002324 0.003317 0.005507 0.015423
2025-09-14 0.001172 0.001412 0.001748 0.002298 0.003308 0.005596 0.016996
2025-09-21 0.001144 0.001381 0.001713 0.002260 0.003274 0.005612 0.018147
2025-09-28 0.001123 0.001358 0.001691 0.002241 0.003274 0.005722 0.020443
2025-10-05 0.001084 0.001309 0.001626 0.002150 0.003124 0.005395 0.018111
2025-10-12 0.001068 0.001292 0.001610 0.002140 0.003137 0.005530 0.020731